Monday, December 29, 2025

Gold Outlook for the Year 2026

 

The report provides a comprehensive overview of the global and Indian gold market, covering production leaders, mineable reserves, extraction challenges, usage trends, and the forward-looking outlook for gold in 2026.

 

1.     1. Global Gold Production – Leading Countries:

Country

Annual Production (Tonnes)

Global Share (%)

China

≈380

≈11%

Russia

≈310

≈9%

Australia

≈300

≈9%

Canada

≈200

≈6%

USA

≈170

≈5%

2.  Global Gold Reserves (Mineable):

Country

Estimated Reserves (Tonnes)

Remarks

Australia

≈10,000

Large undeveloped deposits

Russia

≈6,800

State-supported mining

South Africa

≈5,000

Deep & high-cost mining

USA

≈3,000

Nevada-dominated

China

≈3,000

High domestic consumption

3. Gold Availability & Extraction Complexity:

Approximately 216,000 tonnes of gold have already been mined globally. It is estimated that only 54,000–70,000 tonnes remain economically extractable with current technology and pricing. Extraction is becoming increasingly difficult due to declining ore grades, deeper deposits, higher energy costs, and stricter environmental regulations.

4. Uses of Gold :

  • v Jewelry & Cultural Demand (largest share)
  • v Investment & Central Bank Reserves
  • v Electronics & Semiconductor
  • v  Medical & Dental Applications
  • v Aerospace & Advanced Technologies

5.  India-Specific Perspective & RBI Angle:

India is one of the world’s largest consumers of gold, driven by jewelry demand, investment demand, and cultural significance. Domestic gold demand typically strengthens during wedding seasons and festive periods, providing structural support to prices in the Indian market.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has been steadily increasing its gold holdings as part of foreign exchange reserve diversification. This reflects a broader global trend among central banks to reduce reliance on fiat currencies and strengthen balance sheets with tangible assets like gold.

RBI accumulation, combined with sustained retail demand, enhances gold’s strategic relevance for Indian investors, particularly during periods of global uncertainty or currency volatility.

6.  Gold Price Outlook for Indian Investors – 2026:

Today as on 29th Dec 2025 , 24 carat, 10 gm  gold price touched record level of  Rs. 1,41,220.00 on MCX, as investors reacted to global uncertainty and expectations of lower interest rates in the United States

Market participants tracked signals from the US Federal Reserve, economic data, and rising geopolitical tensions across several regions. Safe-haven demand increased as conflicts involving  Russia and Ukraine, and tensions between the United States and Venezuela continued. Analysts say these factors, along with rate cut expectations, are shaping the gold price outlook for the coming months and into next year.

Gold is expected to retain its strategic importance in Calendar Year 2026 as a store of value, portfolio hedge, and sovereign reserve asset. Persistent geopolitical risks, high global debt, and diversification by central banks - especially in emerging markets, support a structurally bullish long-term outlook for gold. While short-term price volatility may occur due to interest-rate and currency movements, the medium-to-long-term trajectory remains constructive.

Author

Thakur Ajit Singh

Founder

Graded Financial Services - A Mall of Financial Products and Services,

Quick Turtle - An Executive Placement firm,

Chairman, Investor & Consumer Protection, MRCC.

Trainer | Management Consultant

Cell: 8169810833

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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